Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.42	3.52	2.67
	2.41	3.48	2.76
	2.38	3.25	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.11)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	2.68 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
38.7%

Draw
27%

Banbury United
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Banbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banbury United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bedford Town - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Dias C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Hilliard L. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Gordon-Hutton J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Banbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.01.25	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	St Ives Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Bedford Town - AFC Telford United	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Bedford Town - Spalding United	1:5 ✺
01.01.25	Bishops Stortford - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLLW
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
18.01.25	Banbury United - Bishops Stortford	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Sudbury Town - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Banbury United - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Redditch United - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Banbury United - Barwell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.10.24	Banbury United - Bedford Town	2:0
English Southern Premier League
05.04.14	Bedford Town - Banbury United	2:0
19.11.13	Banbury United - Bedford Town	3:0
20.04.13	Banbury United - Bedford Town	1:0

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