Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.12	3.6	2.85
	2.13	3.96	2.86
	2.05	3.6	2.88
	2.15	3.45	2.9
	2.12	3.6	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.95)	3.62 ↑ (3.58)	2.85 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
43%

Draw
25.1%

Spalding United
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spalding United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bedford Town - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Freeman K. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Joseph ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
62', 0 - 3, Sano Sani A. M. ⚽,
66', 0 - 4, Sembie-Ferris D. ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, Green L. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 5, Clifton J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 15).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Spalding could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bedford have a series of home games.

Bedford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.01.25	Bishops Stortford - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Bedford Town - Halesowen Town	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Bedford Town - Lowestoft Town	4:2 ✺
30.11.24	Bedford Town - Biggleswade Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
01.01.25	Spalding United - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
28.12.24	Spalding United - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Stamford - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Spalding United - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Alvechurch - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
10.08.24	Spalding United - Bedford Town	1:0

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