Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 19

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday


	Stourbridge		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.6	3.95	4.5
	1.63	4.02	4.41
	1.66	4.04	4.69	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.62	3.78	4.61
	1.6	3.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.13)	3.88 ↑ (3.48)	4.38 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
55.6%

Draw
23.6%

Bedford Town
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stourbridge's performance.

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bedford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stourbridge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stourbridge - Bedford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stourbridge will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bedford will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bedford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stourbridge have a series of home games.

Stourbridge will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Stourbridge won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
18.01.25	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
14.01.25	Spalding United - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	St Ives Town - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Stourbridge - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
28.12.24	Stourbridge - Stamford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLTL
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.01.25	St Ives Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Bedford Town - AFC Telford United	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Bedford Town - Spalding United	1:5 ✺
01.01.25	Bishops Stortford - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Bedford Town - Halesowen Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.02.23	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	2:1
01.10.22	Bedford Town - Stourbridge	2:4
English Southern Premier League
07.01.14	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	2:1
31.08.13	Bedford Town - Stourbridge	2:0

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