Match Info

National League North - Round 31

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Chester

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.85
	3.55	3.45	1.92
	3.67	3.48	1.98
	3.63	3.58	1.94	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.95
	3.63	3.36	1.9
	3.5	3.4	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.96)	3.42 ↓ (3.67)	1.93 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
25.6%

Draw
26.8%

Chester
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.3%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

24.8%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Bedford Town - Chester Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bedford will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chester will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Chester (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Chester (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Castiglione J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
87', 1 - 1, Croker P. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Shrimpton F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 13).

Bedford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bedford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chester could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bedford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Chester: 10.41% Bedford: 2.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chester	10	5	2	3	13:9	4	17
10	Bedford	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English National League North
03.02.26	Curzon Ashton - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Macclesfield Town - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Bedford Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Alfreton Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Bedford Town - Southport	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLTWL
- Chester City
English National League North
31.01.26	Chester - Radcliffe	1:3 ✺
27.01.26	Marine - Chester	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Peterborough Sports - Chester	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Spennymoor Town - Chester	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chester - Chorley	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.10.25	Chester - Bedford Town	1:2

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