The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chester 41.5%
Draw 26.8%
Radcliffe 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
24%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
23.3%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Chester - Radcliffe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Murray I. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Clegg R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Hulme J. ⚽,
62', 1 - 3, Greenfield D. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Recently, Chester has had a series of away games.
Chester might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Chester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chester: 10.41% Radcliffe: 0.73%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chester
10
5
2
3
13:9
4
17
24
Radcliffe
10
2
0
8
9:20
-11
6
Last Results with these Odds
Chester - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.86%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.