Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.6	3.8
	1.8	3.95	3.3
	1.71	4.04	3.46
	1.71	3.96	3.9
	1.72	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2)	3.86 ↑ (3.72)	3.69 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
52.2%

Draw
23.4%

Hednesford Town
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

23.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bedford Town's performance.

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hednesford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bedford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hednesford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bedford Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Bedford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hednesford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bedford is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
02.01.23	Royston Town - Bedford Town	3:2 ✺
26.12.22	Bedford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	6:1 ✺
17.12.22	Barwell - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Tamworth - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Bedford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWTL
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
02.01.23	Hednesford Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	Redditch United - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
06.12.22	Needham Market - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Hednesford Town - Stratford Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
27.08.22	Hednesford Town - Bedford Town	1:2

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