Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 18

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Bedford Town		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2.05
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.37)	3.4 ↓ (3.58)	2.05 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 12.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
30.2%

Draw
26.2%

Kettering Town
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

25.4%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

24.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kettering Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kettering Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bedford Town - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Andrade B. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Andrade B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 0, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Kelly-Evans D. ⚽,
77', Mensah C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Bedford have a series of guest games.

Kettering will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
15.02.25	Sudbury Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Bedford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
04.02.25	Royston Town - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Barwell - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWL
- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
15.02.25	Stourbridge - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Kettering Town - Barwell	3:0 ✺
04.02.25	Banbury United - Kettering Town	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Sudbury Town - Kettering Town	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Kettering Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.11.24	Kettering Town - Bedford Town	2:2
Club Friendly
16.07.19	Bedford Town - Kettering Town	1:0

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