Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 31

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	2.75
	2.36	3.36	2.85
	2.42	3.39	2.81
	2.31	3.3	2.75
	2.32	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)	2.78 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
39.2%

Draw
27.8%

Bedford Town
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

25.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

25.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bedford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sudbury Town - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Blake R. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Green L. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Neal J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Sudbury is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bedford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sudbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sudbury won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
04.02.25	Lowestoft Town - Sudbury Town	1:3 ✺
01.02.25	Sudbury Town - Kettering Town	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Stamford - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Sudbury Town - Halesowen Town	0:0 ✺
14.01.25	Harborough Town - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTL
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
08.02.25	Bedford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
04.02.25	Royston Town - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Barwell - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	6:2 ✺
25.01.25	Bedford Town - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.09.24	Bedford Town - Sudbury Town	3:1

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