Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 21

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday


	Royston Town		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.5	3.6
	1.84	3.75	3.45
	1.8	4.2	3.58
	1.8	4.19	3.71	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.3
	1.79	4.14	3.73
	1.8	3.8	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.34)	3.88 ↑ (3.38)	3.42 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royston Town
48.9%

Draw
23.9%

Bedford Town
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royston Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Royston Town's performance.

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bedford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Royston Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Royston Town - Bedford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Royston will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bedford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Akubuine J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', Lobjoit L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bedford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Royston won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Royston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.02.25	Royston Town - Biggleswade Town	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Spalding United - Royston Town	0:0 ✺
21.01.25	Halesowen Town - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Royston Town - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Royston Town - AFC Telford United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLLT
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.02.25	Barwell - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	6:2 ✺
25.01.25	Bedford Town - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
21.01.25	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	St Ives Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.08.24	Bedford Town - Royston Town	1:1
02.01.23	Royston Town - Bedford Town	3:2
29.08.22	Bedford Town - Royston Town	0:2

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