Match Info

National League North - Round 38

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Bedford Town		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.63
	2.28	3.45	2.78
	2.36	3.44	2.85
	2.33	3.61	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.3	3.3	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.48)	3.42 ↓ (3.81)	2.76 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
39.7%

Draw
27%

Worksop Town
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Worksop Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Bedford Town - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Starcenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, Waldock L. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 19 and 18)

Bedford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Worksop is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bedford could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bedford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Bedford: 2.1% Worksop: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bedford	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
18	Worksop	10	4	0	6	10:16	-6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Bedford Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English National League North
07.03.26	Spennymoor Town - Bedford Town	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Darlington - Bedford Town	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Bedford Town - Peterborough Sports	4:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bedford Town - Chorley	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Merthyr Town - Bedford Town	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWWL
- Worksop Town
English National League North
07.03.26	Worksop Town - Hereford	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Worksop Town - Leamington	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	South Shields - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Curzon Ashton - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Worksop Town - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.10.25	Worksop Town - Bedford Town	0:2

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