Match Info
National League North - Round 33Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday
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Merthyr Town |
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Bedford Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.83 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
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1.88 |
3.85 |
3.3 |
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1.84 |
4.41 |
3.37 |
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1.84 |
4.45 |
3.31 |
 Watch |
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1.91 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
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1.75 |
4 |
3.6 |
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1.83 |
4.2 |
3.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84
(1.84) |
4.09 ↑
(4) |
3.35 ↓
(3.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town
50% | Draw
22.5% | Bedford Town
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)Merthyr Town - Bedford Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Ebanks C. ⚽,
- 6', 1 - 1, Ryan-Phillips C. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 1, Cox C. ⚽,
- 30', 3 - 1, Garrick J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 54', 4 - 1, Twamley L. ⚽,
- 64', 5 - 1, Handley T. ⚽,
- 80', 6 - 1, Rai K. ⚽,
- 90', 7 - 1, Xavier-Jones T. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).Merthyr has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Bedford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Merthyr might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Bedford: 2.14% Merthyr Town: 1.46%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
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| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
