Match Info

National League North - Round 36

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	4.75
	1.5	4.45	5.15
	1.56	4.31	5.23
	1.46	4.72	5.81	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.55	4.49	4.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	4.38 ↑ (4.22)	5.14 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
60.9%

Draw
21.1%

Bedford Town
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Darlington - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Main C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Maskell J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Darlington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Bedford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Darlington has had a series of away games.

In this match, Darlington is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Darlington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Bedford: 2.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bedford	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
22	Darlington	10	2	1	7	12:21	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
24.02.26	Curzon Ashton - Darlington	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	0:4 ✺
17.02.26	Hereford - Darlington	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Southport - Darlington	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Darlington - Merthyr Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLTW
- Bedford Town
English National League North
24.02.26	Bedford Town - Peterborough Sports	4:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bedford Town - Chorley	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Merthyr Town - Bedford Town	7:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bedford Town - Chester	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Curzon Ashton - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.11.25	Bedford Town - Darlington	3:4

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