Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 25

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Olympisch Stadion (Antwerp)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza


	Beerschot Wilrijk		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.7	1.8
	4.2	3.65	1.82
	4.46	3.76	1.83
	4.34	3.72	1.82
	4	3.5	1.85
	4.64	3.61	1.86	Watch
	4.2	3.65	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4.16)	3.64 ↓ (3.65)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beerschot Wilrijk
21.9%

Draw
26.1%

Charleroi
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.9%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.6%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Charleroi aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Charleroi will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beerschot Wilrijk: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Shinton N. (G) 66. Tolis 5. Mbe Soh L. 6. Fayed O. 4. Plat B. 7. Reyners T. 20. Sahabo H. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 42. Martha A. 25. Colassin A. 10. Redan D.	30. Kone M. (G) 29. Rogelj Z. 21. Andreou S. 4. Ousou A. 15. Dragsnes V. 22. Titraoui Y. 6. Zorgane A. (C) 7. Mbenza I. 18. Heymans D. 10. Guiagon P. 19. Stulic N.
Substitutes
2. Dagba C. 8. Henderson E. 9. Kosiah A. 71. Matijas D. (G) 3. Ortakaya E. 26. Tshimanga D. 99. van der Kust D. 98. van La Parra R. 32. Wright-Phillips D.	28. Asante R. A. 43. Benaets Q. 5. Camara E. 55. Delavalee M. (G) 70. Flips A. 95. Keita C. 99. Kyei G. 24. Nzita M. 98. Petris J.
Coaches
Kuyt D.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Redan D. ⚽,
38', Fayed O. ↓, Dagba C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mbenza I. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
46', Dragsnes V. ↓, Nzita M. ↑,
60', Colassin A. ↓, van La Parra R. ↑,
60', Martha A. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Stulic N. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
69', Mbe Soh L. 🟨,
70', Henderson E. 🟨,
73', Guiagon P. ↓, Asante R. A. ↑,
77', Nzita M. 🟨,
88', Stulic N. ↓, Kyei G. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 1.

Beerschot Wilrijk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Charleroi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beerschot Wilrijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Charleroi is a favorite.

There will not play in Beerschot Wilrijk: Cagro W. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Beerschot Wilrijk: Sanusi R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Charleroi: Defourny T. (Shoulder Injury) Kyei G. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:22 (average 1:3.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Beerschot Wilrijk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.02.25	Genk - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Saint-Gilloise	0:4 ✺
18.01.25	Club Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:2 ✺
12.01.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Royal Antwerp	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
09.01.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.02.25	Charleroi - Dender EH	5:0 ✺
25.01.25	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
17.01.25	Gent - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
26.12.24	Kortrijk - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.09.24	Charleroi - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:0
25.02.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi	2:3
28.08.21	Charleroi - Beerschot Wilrijk	5:2
07.04.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi	2:1
18.09.20	Charleroi - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1
11.05.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi	0:3
22.04.19	Charleroi - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:0

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