Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 21

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Dender EH		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.92	3.2	2.45	Watch
	3.12	3.19	2.39	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	3.07	3.16	2.47	Watch
	3	3.14	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.93)	3.13 ↓ (3.17)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
31.1%

Draw
29.9%

Royal Antwerp
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Royal Antwerp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	9.5%	76.2%

Dender EH - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Antwerp will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antwerp: 58% – 94.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Antwerp (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Royal Antwerp will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Antwerp (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gallon G. (G) 5. Marijnissen L. 21. Cools K. 7. Goncalves B. 70. Sambu M. 24. Viltard M. 17. Mbamba N. 88. Ferraro F. 16. Kvet R. 9. Toshevski D. 77. Nsimba B. (C)	41. Nozawa T. (G) 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 25. Kouyate K. 4. Tsunashima Y. 24. Somers T. 8. Praet D. 78. Dierckx X. 30. Scott C. 7. Kerk G. 18. Janssen V. (C) 9. Al Sahafi M.
Substitutes
23. Acquah D. 90. Berte M. 45. Daali A. 1. Fortin L. (G) 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 19. Kadiri J. A. 15. Koton K. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 18. Rodes N.	10. Babadi I. 5. Foulon D. 17. Renders S. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 19. Urinboev M. 14. Valencia A. 79. Vandeplas G. 21. Verstraeten A.
Coaches
Milkon H.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Kvet R. ⚽, Nsimba B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kouyate K. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
46', Scott C. ↓, Foulon D. ↑,
56', Kvet R. 🟨,
59', Praet D. ↓, Verstraeten A. ↑,
59', Al Sahafi M. ↓, Vandeplas G. ↑,
75', Ferraro F. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
83', Somers T. ↓, Babadi I. ↑,
83', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
90', Mbamba N. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
90', Nsimba B. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
90+7', Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Dender EH is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Antwerp is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Antwerp has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Dender EH: De Fougerolles L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Antwerp: Engels B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hairemans G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Adewusi R. (Inactive) Fredrick B. (Knee Injury) Oratmangoen R. (Knee Injury) Verrips M. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Antwerp: 1.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11:15	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Cup
14.01.26	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	KV Mechelen - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Dender EH - Club Brugge	1:5 ✺
05.12.25	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLLW
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Cup
13.01.26	Royal Antwerp - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	Royal Antwerp - Zulte Waregem	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Gent - Royal Antwerp	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Royal Antwerp - Genk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.11.25	Royal Antwerp - Dender EH	1:2
21.12.24	Dender EH - Royal Antwerp	1:3
22.11.24	Royal Antwerp - Dender EH	1:1

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