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Current Win Probability
Beijing Guoan 61.7%
Draw 21.3%
Dalian Young Boy 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
24.2%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
25.9%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.
Dalian Young Boy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
33.3%
11.1%
Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Dalian Young Boy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 29% โ 96%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 21. Yue Tze-Nam 27. Wang Gang 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 23. Dawhan 8. Konte A. 7. Serginho 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 37. Cao Yongjing 9. Zhang Yuning
26. Huang Zihao (G) 28. Sun Kangbo 24. Bi Jinhao 17. Li Ang 22. Mao W. 4. Alimi I. 40. Liao Jintao (C) 27. Yang Mingrui 7. Luo Jing 30. Acheampong F. 16. Zhu P.
Substitutes
24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 29. Abreu F. 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng J. 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 36. Jia Feifan 4. Li Lei 11. Lin Liangming 18. Wang Yu 38. Wei J. 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G)
1. Ge Peng (G) 23. Huang Shan 20. Liu Weiguo (G) 21. Lu Peng 38. Lu Zhuoyi 5. Peng Shunjie 6. Song Yue 2. Traore M. 15. Wen Jiabao 14. Yan Y. 37. Zhang C. 8. Zhang Huachen
Coaches
Montgomery N.
Li G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Mao W. 🟨,
13', Yang Mingrui 🟨,
45+2', Cao Yongjing 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Zhang Yuning ↓, Abreu F. ↑,
46', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
46', Li Ang ↓, Huang Shan ↑,
46', Mao W. ↓, Lu Zhuoyi ↑,
47', Liao Jintao 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Ramos G. ⚽, Serginho (A),
58', 2 - 0, Huang Shan (Own goal),
61', Luo Jing 🟨,
63', Abreu F. (Penalty Awarded),
65', 3 - 0, Lin Liangming ⚽, Bai Yang (A),
68', Luo Jing ↓, Lu Peng ↑,
69', Dawhan ↓, Abdugheni Abduhamit ↑,
71', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
74', Bi Jinhao ↓, Peng Shunjie ↑,
80', Yang Mingrui ↓, Zhang C. ↑,
86', Serginho ↓, Deng J. ↑,
88', Lu Peng 🟨,
90+2', Wang Yu 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 3).
In recent matches, Beijing Guoan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dalian Young Boy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Dalian Young Boy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Dalian Young Boy has had a series of home games.
In this match, Beijing Guoan is the team to beat.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Abreu F.
(Inactive)
Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Dalian Young Boy: Cao Haiqing
(Inactive)
Feng Jing
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: He Yupeng
(Foot Injury)
Nkololo B.
(Injury)
Wu Shaocong
(Inactive)
Yang Liyu
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Dalian Young Boy: Malele C.
(Inactive)
Stanciu N.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
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Hou Sen (G) 
Yue Tze-Nam 
Ramos G. 
Dawhan 
Konte A. 
Alimi I. 
Acheampong F. 
Abreu F. 
Montgomery N. 
