Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
China	Migu
Spain	Gol Play


	Yunnan Yukun		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.7	2.45	Watch
	2.52	3.65	2.42	Watch
	2.63	3.76	2.5
	2.6	3.59	2.46	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.45
	2.68	3.65	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.81)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
36.1%

Draw
25.9%

Beijing Guoan
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.9%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

24.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+5%)

Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 20. Tang Miao 5. Shi Ke 33. Burca A. 21. Yang Zihao 7. Ye Chugui 6. Zhao Yuhao (C) 8. Xu Xin 10. Ionita II A. 9. Cleber 11. Taty Maritu O.	34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 8. Konte A. 23. Dawhan 7. Serginho 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 37. Cao Yongjing 9. Zhang Yuning
Substitutes
39. Abdusalam B. 1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 32. Chen Yuhao 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 19. Huang Zichang 30. Saeter J. 14. Wang Xinghao (G) 18. Yi Teng 26. Zhang Chenliang 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 15. Zhang Yufeng	33. Abbas Nureli (G) 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng J. 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 36. Jia Feifan 35. Jiang Wenhao 18. Wang Yu 38. Wei J. 21. Yue Tze-Nam 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G)
Coaches
Vinyals J.	Montgomery N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Ionita II A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
60', 1 - 2, Zhang Xizhe (Penalty Awarded),
60', Wang Gang ↓, Yue Tze-Nam ↑,
60', Ye Chugui ↓, Saeter J. ↑,
60', Xu Xin ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
60', Tang Miao ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
73', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
74', Zhao Yuhao ↓, Fei Ernanduo ↑,
74', Yang Zihao ↓, Abdusalam B. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Cleber ⚽, Saeter J. (A),
81', 2 - 3, Serginho ⚽, Feng Boxuan (A),
83', Serginho ↓, Deng J. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Huang Zichang (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).

Yunnan Yukun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beijing Guoan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Nkololo B. (Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Abreu F. (Inactive) He Yupeng (Foot Injury) Wu Shaocong (Inactive) Yang Liyu (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
26.04.26	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	1:3 ✺
21.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun	3:4 ✺
04.04.26	Shanghai Port - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
25.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:4 ✺
21.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Liaoning Tieren - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
20.08.25	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	7:0
Chinese Super League
30.06.25	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	2:1
22.02.25	Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan	0:2

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