Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Beijing Guoan		Wofoo Tai Po

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.21	6.3	9.2
	1.2	5.84	9.52
	1.36	5.08	6.93	Watch
	1.19	6.5	12.2	Watch
	1.39	4.5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)	5.64 ↑ (4.5)	8.85 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
73.1%

Draw
16.4%

Wofoo Tai Po
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

20.2%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

19.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.

Wofoo Tai Po has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beijing Guoan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Beijing Guoan - Wofoo Tai Po Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tai Po will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -2 - Beijing Guoan (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 27. Wang Gang 5. Ngadeu M. 26. Bai Yang 3. He Yupeng 37. Cao Yongjing 21. Zhang Yuan 23. Dawhan 8. Guga 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning	94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 26. Lee Ka-Ho 33. Gabriel Cividini 4. Daciel 44. Weverton Rangel 25. Mikael 18. Sartori I. 20. Patrick Valverde 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. (C) 7. Michel Renner 27. Temelkovski J.
Substitutes
33. Abbas Nureli (G) 6. Chi Zhongguo 18. Fang Hao 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 34. Hou Sen (G) 35. Jiang Wenhao 11. Lin Liangming 7. Serginho 20. Wang Ziming 17. Yang Liyu 10. Zhang Xizhe	87. Benavides N. 80. Chung Wai-Keung 5. Dujardin A. 15. Dujardin R. 10. Fernando 93. Ho M. F. (G) 6. Law Chun-Ting 23. Lee Lok-Him 1. Lo S. (G) 11. Lucas Silva 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 9. Paulinho Simionato
Coaches
Amarelle R.	Lee Chi-Kin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', He Yupeng 🟨,
41', Gabriel Cividini 🟨,
42', Zhang Yuning 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Zhang Yuning ⚽, He Yupeng (A),
61', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Fernando ↑,
67', Zhang Yuning ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
67', Zhang Yuan ↓, Serginho ↑,
68', Lee Ka-Ho ↓, Paulinho Simionato ↑,
76', Bai Yang ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
81', He Yupeng ↓, Jiang Wenhao ↑,
81', Cao Yongjing ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Yang Liyu (A),
90+6', 3 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Yang Liyu (A),

Preview

Recent form of Beijing Guoan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tai Po has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Beijing Guoan has had a series of away games.

Recently, Tai Po has had a series of home games.

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
01.11.25	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	0:4 ✺
26.10.25	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Beijing Guoan	3:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.10.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.25	Macarthur FC - Beijing Guoan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTLL
- Wofoo Tai Po
Hong Kong Premier League
01.11.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong Rangers	6:1 ✺
26.10.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern AA	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Beijing Guoan	3:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
18.10.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Kitchee	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Wofoo Tai Po	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
23.10.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Beijing Guoan	3:3

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