Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Tai Po Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Wofoo Tai Po		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	4.35	1.55
	4.7	4.95	1.56
	4.11	4.77	1.61	Watch
				Watch
	4.09	4.98	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3.76)	4.76 ↑ (4.56)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wofoo Tai Po
21.2%

Draw
19.6%

Beijing Guoan
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

20%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

17.9%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wofoo Tai Po has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wofoo Tai Po, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Wofoo Tai Po - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tai Po will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Tai Po (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tai Po (votes: 4 - 80%). Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 7. Michel Renner 27. Temelkovski J. 20. Patrick Valverde 44. Weverton Rangel 25. Mikael 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 26. Lee Ka-Ho 15. Dujardin R. 4. Daciel 18. Sartori I. (C)	39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 5. Ngadeu M. 17. Yang Liyu 21. Zhang Yuan 29. Abreu F. 11. Lin Liangming 23. Dawhan 26. Bai Yang 3. He Yupeng 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 37. Cao Yongjing
Substitutes
87. Benavides N. 80. Chung Wai-Keung 5. Dujardin A. 10. Fernando 93. Ho M. F. (G) 22. Korani K. 6. Law Chun-Ting 23. Lee Lok-Him 1. Lo S. (G) 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 9. Paulinho Simionato 3. Sung K.	33. Abbas Nureli (G) 18. Fang Hao 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 8. Guga 34. Hou Sen (G) 35. Jiang Wenhao 4. Li Lei 7. Serginho 27. Wang Gang 20. Wang Ziming 2. Wu Shaocong
Coaches
Lee Chi-Kin	Amarelle R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Michel Renner ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Temelkovski J. (Pen),
36', 2 - 1, Bai Yang ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 2, Ngadeu M. ⚽,
65', Daciel 🟨,
68', Zhang Yuan ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
69', Yang Liyu ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
69', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
69', Fan Shuangjie 🟨,
78', Weverton Rangel 🟨,
80', Lee Ka-Ho ↓, Chung Wai-Keung ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Abreu F. ⚽, Dawhan (A),
84', He Yupeng ↓, Li Lei ↑,
85', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Paulinho Simionato ↑,
85', Patrick Valverde ↓, Fernando ↑,
89', Chung Wai-Keung 🟨,
90', 3 - 3, Michel Renner ⚽, Temelkovski J. (A),

Preview

Tai Po is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beijing Guoan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wofoo Tai Po
Hong Kong Premier League
18.10.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Kitchee	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Wofoo Tai Po	3:0 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
27.09.25	Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po	2:3 penalties ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
21.09.25	Kowloon City - Wofoo Tai Po	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.09.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Macarthur FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.1 TLWWW
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
18.10.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.25	Macarthur FC - Beijing Guoan	3:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
26.09.25	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.09.25	Beijing Guoan - Cong An Ha Noi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLT

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