Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Beijing Guoan		Qingdao Hainiu

	1	X	2
	1.35	5	7	Watch
	1.37	5.15	6.5	Watch
	1.39	5.46	7.44
	1.38	5.01	7.11	Watch
	1.36	5	6.5
	1.37	5.48	7.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	5.18 ↑ (4.79)	7.01 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
68.5%

Draw
18.1%

Qingdao Hainiu
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

19.5%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

21.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Beijing Guoan (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 21. Yue Tze-Nam 27. Wang Gang 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 8. Konte A. 7. Serginho 11. Lin Liangming 29. Abreu F. 9. Zhang Yuning	28. Mu Pengfei (G) 16. Li Hailong 3. Liu Junshuai 26. Andjelkovic N. 23. Song Long 34. Jin Yonghao 14. Sun Zheng'ao 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 11. El Messaoudi A. (C) 8. Lin Chuangyi 10. Strandberg C.
Substitutes
24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 37. Cao Yongjing 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng J. 16. Feng Boxuan 36. Jia Feifan 35. Jiang Wenhao 4. Li Lei 18. Wang Yu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G)	30. Che Shiwei 43. Jappar M. (G) 4. Jin Yangyang 29. Li Suda 21. Liu Guobao 33. Liu Jiashen 1. Liu Jun (G) 31. Luo Senwen 19. Song Wenjie 22. Yang Cong 7. Yeboah Y. 2. Zhang Wei
Coaches
Montgomery N.	Ristic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Yue Tze-Nam ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Zhang Xizhe (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Konte A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sun Zheng'ao ↓, Luo Senwen ↑,
51', Luo Senwen 🟨,
62', Lin Liangming ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
63', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Yang Cong ↑,
63', Jin Yonghao ↓, Song Wenjie ↑,
65', 4 - 0, Cao Yongjing ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
67', 4 - 1, Song Wenjie ⚽, Song Long (A),
72', Andjelkovic N. ↓, Liu Jiashen ↑,
75', Yang Cong 🟨,
83', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Li Lei ↑,
83', Zhang Yuning ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
86', Song Long ↓, Li Suda ↑,
87', Liu Junshuai 🟨,
88', Konte A. ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
90+4', 4 - 2, Ngan Cheuk-Pan ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.

In recent matches, Beijing Guoan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Qingdao Hainiu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Wang Qiao (Red Card)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Fan Shuangjie (Inactive) Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Foot Injury) Nkololo B. (Injury) Wu Shaocong (Inactive) Yang Liyu (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 3.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
16	Qingdao Hainiu	26	6	3	17	34:53	-19	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
10.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:4 ✺
21.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTLW
- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
10.05.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Dalian Young Boy	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
26.10.25	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	2:4
17.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1
19.10.24	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	6:0
21.05.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1
22.07.23	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0
25.04.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	3:1
22.09.20	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	5:1

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