Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)


	Guangxi Hengchen		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.10	3.50	1.68
	3.85	3.45	1.78
	4.64	3.82	1.70
	4.23	3.49	1.77	Watch
	4.40	3.50	1.67
	4.47	3.62	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (4.29)	3.56 ↓ (3.8)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
21.3%

Draw
25.5%

Shandong Taishan
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

24.5%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

25.1%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Chen Pu ⚽, Zeca (A),
40', 0 - 2, Zeca ⚽, Qazaishvili V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 3, Zeca ⚽, Wang Dalei (A),
78', 0 - 4, Zeca ⚽, Guilherme Madruga (A),
90', 0 - 5, Merkies R. ⚽, Zeca (A),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Shandong Taishan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shandong Taishan is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Foshan Nanshi	3:3 ✺
23.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Hubei Istar - Guangxi Hengchen	0:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTWT
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	3:3 ✺
20.05.26	Zhejiang Professional - Shandong Taishan	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLWW

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