The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beijing Guoan 60.3%
Draw 21.3%
Shanghai Port 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
24.7%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
24.4%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.
Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beijing Guoan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 21. Yue Tze-Nam 23. Dawhan 8. Konte A. 29. Abreu F. 7. Serginho 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 9. Zhang Yuning
1. Yan Junling (C) 22. Yang A. 13. Wei Zhen 5. Zhang Linpeng 40. Yusup Umidjan 31. Bao Shimeng 6. Zhang Yuan 10. Mateus Vital 33. Liu Zhurun 49. Li X. 45. Leonardo
Substitutes
24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng J. 16. Feng Boxuan 36. Jia Feifan 35. Jiang Wenhao 4. Li Lei 11. Lin Liangming 18. Wang Yu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G)
3. Browning Tyias 12. Chen Wei (G) 56. Jiang Yufei 26. Liu Ruofan 53. Li Zhiliang (G) 38. Lu Yongtao 14. Orr M. 54. Wang Dongcheng 19. Wang Zhenao 7. Wu Lei 28. Yue Xin
Coaches
Montgomery N.
Muscat K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Leonardo 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Mateus Vital (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', Li X. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bai Yang ↓, Li Lei ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
62', 1 - 2, Leonardo ⚽, Li X. (A),
63', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
64', Leonardo ↓, Orr M. ↑,
64', Bao Shimeng ↓, Wang Zhenao ↑,
64', Liu Zhurun ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
69', Zhang Yuan 🟨,
75', Zhang Linpeng ↓, Browning Tyias ↑,
77', Wang Zhenao 🟨,
81', Li X. ↓, Wu Lei ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Zhang Xizhe (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Zhang Xizhe 🟨,
90+14', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Cao Yongjing
(Red Card)
Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shanghai Port: Ampem P. O.
(Red Card)
Gabrielzinho
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: He Yupeng
(Foot Injury)
Nkololo B.
(Injury)
Wu Shaocong
(Inactive)
Yang Liyu
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Shanghai Port: Jean Claude
(Knee Injury)
Kuai Jiwen
(Injury)
Wang Shenchao
(Injury)
Yang Shiyuan
(Concussion)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
Belarus
China
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Hou Sen (G) 
Ramos G. 
Yue Tze-Nam 
Dawhan 
Konte A. 
Abreu F. 
Montgomery N. 
Muscat K. 
