Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Beijing Guoan		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2	3.5	3.4
	2.1	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.45
	2.14	3.4	3.67
	2.1	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.07	3.42	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.36)	3.37 ↓ (3.53)	3.43 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
45.2%

Draw
27.7%

Tokyo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

20.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tokyo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	11.5%	19.2%

Beijing Guoan - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Tokyo will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Beijing Guoan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tokyo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beijing Guoan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Beijing Guoan have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
AFC Champions League
03.12.20	Beijing Guoan - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
02.12.20	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.11.20	Beijing Guoan - FC Seoul	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
28.11.20	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
27.11.20	Melbourne Victory - Beijing Guoan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 TLWWW
- FC Tokyo
AFC Champions League
03.12.20	Perth Glory - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Tokyo - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
27.11.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Tokyo	1:2 ✺
24.11.20	Tokyo - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
18.11.20	Vegalta Sendai - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
17.04.12	Tokyo - Beijing Guoan	N/A

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