Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Tokyo		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4	7
	1.45	3.85	6.75	Watch
	1.49	4	6
	1.49	4.12	8.01
	1.44	4.2	6	Watch
	1.48	4.35	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	4.12 ↓ (4.33)	6.69 ↓ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo
63.6%

Draw
22.5%

Shanghai Shenhua
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.2%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

12.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-25.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Shenhua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	12%	32%

Tokyo - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Tokyo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shanghai Shenhua is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shanghai Shenhua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shanghai Shenhua have a series of guest games.

In this match Tokyo is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
18.11.20	Vegalta Sendai - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
11.11.20	Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	2:1 ✺
28.10.20	Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL
- Shanghai Shenhua
AFC Champions League
21.11.20	Ulsan HD - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
18.11.20	Perth Glory - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
10.11.20	Hebei CFFC - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
06.11.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Hebei CFFC	4:1 ✺
01.11.20	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Shanghai Shenhua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LWWWL

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