Match Info

Date: 27 November 2020, Friday


	Shanghai Shenhua		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.57	Watch
	4.75	3.7	1.67
	5.75	3.55	1.55	Watch
	5.2	3.45	1.56
	6.33	3.77	1.63
	5.5	3.6	1.63	Watch
	5.35	3.96	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.45 ↑ (3.42)	3.69 ↑ (3.57)	1.6 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
17%

Draw
25.1%

Tokyo
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.5%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

17.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Shenhua's form might have worsened.

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+25%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-27.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shanghai Shenhua - Tokyo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Shanghai Shenhua is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tokyo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tokyo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shanghai Shenhua have a series of guest games.

In this match Tokyo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shanghai Shenhua won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
AFC Champions League
24.11.20	Tokyo - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
21.11.20	Ulsan HD - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
18.11.20	Perth Glory - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
10.11.20	Hebei CFFC - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
06.11.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Hebei CFFC	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.7 WLWWW
- FC Tokyo
AFC Champions League
24.11.20	Tokyo - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
18.11.20	Vegalta Sendai - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
11.11.20	Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
24.11.20	Tokyo - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1

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