Match Info

ISRAEL: STATE CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)


	Beitar Jerusalem		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	5.75
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.37	4.84	7.18
	1.36	5	7.2
	1.39	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	4.72 ↑ (4.65)	6.83 ↓ (7.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beitar Jerusalem
67.2%

Draw
19.4%

Hapoel Afula
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Beitar Jerusalem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Beitar Jerusalem have a series of guest games.

In this match Beitar Jerusalem is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Beitar Jerusalem won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Beitar Jerusalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
25.02.23	Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Hapoel Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Beitar Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Beitar Jerusalem	0:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
01.02.23	Hapoel Afula - Beitar Jerusalem	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWW
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.02.23	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	3:2 ✺
21.02.23	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Tiberias	2:2 ✺
17.02.23	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Afula	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:0 ✺
10.02.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
01.02.23	Hapoel Afula - Beitar Jerusalem	0:4
19.12.21	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Afula	2:1 ET

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