Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Fontinhas		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.7
	1.65	3.75	4.2
	1.97	3.39	4.09
	1.87	3.45	3.82	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	3.91 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
50%

Draw
26.5%

Moncarapachense
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

22.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fontinhas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moncarapachense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Fontinhas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moncarapachense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Fontinhas is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fontinhas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Fontinhas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Portuguese Liga 3
02.04.23	Académica Coimbra - Fontinhas	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Oliveira Hospital - Fontinhas	3:2 ✺
05.03.23	Fontinhas - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Leiria - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Fontinhas - Amora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LLWWL
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
02.04.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Leiria - Moncarapachense	6:1 ✺
04.03.23	Moncarapachense - Amora	2:4 ✺
25.02.23	Belenenses - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Moncarapachense - Real SC	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
07.01.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	2:4
27.08.22	Moncarapachense - Fontinhas	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.05.22	Moncarapachense - Fontinhas	0:0
20.03.22	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	2:1

Fontinhas - Moncarapachense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide