Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 13

Date: 6 January 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Belenenses		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5	Watch
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.94	3.15	3.6
	1.93	3.42	4.21
	1.88	3.32	3.75
	1.97	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.68)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)	3.75 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
47.6%

Draw
28.1%

Real SC
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

25.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belenenses's form might have worsened.

Real SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Belenenses is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real SC is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Belenenses is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
18.12.22	Académica Coimbra - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Alverca - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Belenenses - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	Moncarapachense - Belenenses	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Belenenses - Caldas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWT
- Real SC de Queluz
Portuguese Liga 3
16.12.22	Real SC - Oliveira Hospital	2:2 ✺
10.12.22	Leiria - Real SC	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Académica Coimbra - Real SC	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Real SC - Alverca	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Real SC - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
28.08.22	Real SC - Belenenses	0:1

Belenenses - Real SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide