Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sporting Lisbon B		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.9
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.27)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	2.9 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 12.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
42.4%

Draw
27%

Belenenses
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Diego Callai (G) 45. Moreira D. 95. Taibo Dominguez L. 43. Muniz J. 78. Couto M. 80. Gomes L. 81. Arreiol H. 77. Besugo R. 40. Arvelo A. 86. Nel R. 58. Goncalves F.	22. Grilo D. (G) 13. Cuca 39. Pinto A. 4. Nuno Tomas 5. Brasido D. 20. Paulo D. 23. Fernandes X. 27. Barros E. 21. Morgado T. 9. Pereira R. 29. Ekanga Ondoa H. O.
Substitutes
64. Cardoso D. 89. Cardoso N. 53. Dias R. 59. Kaua Oliveira 79. Marques R. 71. Santos D. 99. Silva F. (G) 65. Silva G. 55. Silva J.	3. Barbosa A. 16. Carvalho R. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 17. Horta Leitao D. 6. Maria G. 24. Neto T. (G) 15. Tavares J. 19. Triana C. 14. Varela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Pinto A. ⚽,
37', Gomes L. 🟥,
39', Morgado T. 🟨,
40', Nuno Tomas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Arvelo A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
52', Paulo D. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Goncalves F. (Pen),
63', Paulo D. ↓, Horta Leitao D. ↑,
63', Morgado T. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
69', Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
78', Goncalves F. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
78', Fernandes X. ↓, Maria G. ↑,
78', Barros E. ↓, Triana C. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Pereira R. ⚽,
88', Horta Leitao D. 🟨,
89', Taibo Dominguez L. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
89', Besugo R. ↓, Dias R. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Horta Leitao D. ⚽,

Preview

Sporting B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Belenenses is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
16.02.25	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTWT
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.25	1 Dezembro - Belenenses	3:1 ✺
07.02.25	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Belenenses - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Belenenses - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.01.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	2:1
06.10.24	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1
05.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	0:1
21.10.22	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1

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