Match Info
Taça de Portugal - 1/64-finalsDate: 20 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio do Restelo (Lisbon)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Portugal | Canal 11 |
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Belenenses |
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Marítimo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
1.85 |
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 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
1.99 |
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 |
3.46 |
3.77 |
1.94 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.55 ↑ (3.24) |
3.56 ↑ (3.29) |
1.93 ↓ (2.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Belenenses 26% | Draw 26% | Marítimo 48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)Belenenses - Marítimo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Sambu M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 0, Sambu M. ⚽,
Preview
Right now, both teams are showing solid form. Marítimo could have a small edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Liga 2 | | | 05.03.24 | Marítimo - Belenenses | 1:1 | | 08.10.23 | Belenenses - Marítimo | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;