Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Restelo (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Belenenses		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.2
	1.8	3.35	3.9
	1.93	3.39	4.2
	1.88	3.62	3.76	Watch
	1.87	3.42	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.39)	3.95 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
50.1%

Draw
26.7%

Lusitano GC
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Belenenses - Lusitano GC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Oliveira G. (G) 2. Machado J. 22. Bandarra M. 4. Nuno Tomas 66. Cesinha 20. Paulo D. 21. Morgado T. 14. Afonso A. 10. Sambu M. 16. Souza E. 31. David Rebelo	22. Martins D. (G) 53. Carvalho E. 4. Santana C. 5. Palancha T. 25. Pinto J. 6. Andrade M. 10. Aguas M. 8. Baptista T. 30. Davou S. 29. Isnaba G. 11. Almara F.
Substitutes
26. Acosta Pinerez C. A. 3. Amaral A. 13. Cuca 53. Dias B. 7. Eduardo W. 17. Horta Leitao D. 9. Paredes J. 5. Teixeira J. 19. Valente A.	. Benny . Cande B. . Gomes A. . Gomez D. M. . Lopes D. . Sequeira G. . Sonhi Y. . Sousa A. . Sousa J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, David Rebelo ⚽,
26', Afonso A. 🟨,
34', 🟨,
34', Morgado T. 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Carvalho E. ↓, Prego B. ↑,
66', Davou S. ↓, Sequeira G. ↑,
66', Almara F. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
66', Aguas M. ↓, Cande B. ↑,
67', Afonso A. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
67', Sambu M. ↓, Horta Leitao D. ↑,
68', 🟨,
78', Souza E. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
78', Bandarra M. ↓, Cuca ↑,
85', Andrade M. 🟨,
88', Machado J. ↓, Amaral A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Belenenses is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
17.08.25	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Mafra - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Estrela da Amadora - Belenenses	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
01.06.25	Paços de Ferreira - Belenenses	2:0 ET ✺
24.05.25	Belenenses - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWLW
- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
17.08.25	Lusitano GC - Mafra	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	União de Santarém - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Elvas - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.06.25	Lusitano GC - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 penalties ✺
01.06.25	Lusitano GC - Elvas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW

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