Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 11

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Real SC

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	1.98	3.05	3.65
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.32	3.09	3.45
	2	3	3.6
	2.11	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.24	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.97)	3.11 ↓ (3.19)	3.27 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
42.6%

Draw
29.4%

Real SC
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Real SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 11 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Real SC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Académica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Académica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
26.11.22	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
13.11.22	Alverca - Académica Coimbra	4:0 ✺
05.11.22	Académica Coimbra - Setúbal	3:0 ✺
29.10.22	Moncarapachense - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWLL
- Real SC de Queluz
Portuguese Liga 3
27.11.22	Real SC - Alverca	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Real SC - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Setúbal - Real SC	3:5 ✺
06.11.22	Real SC - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Caldas - Real SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.04.18	Académica Coimbra - Real SC	1:0
09.12.17	Real SC - Académica Coimbra	3:4

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