Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leiria		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.2	7.75
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.36	4.2	7.4
	1.35	4.92	9.58
	1.35	3.9	8.5
	1.35	4.3	7.9	Watch
	1.35	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)	4.36 ↑ (3.55)	8.23 ↑ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
68%

Draw
20.9%

Real SC
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

25.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

24.2%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiria's performance.

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Leiria - Real SC Predictions

Users Predictions: Leiria will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Leiria in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Real SC is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Leiria is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leiria to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leiria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
04.12.22	Moncarapachense - Leiria	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Leiria - Caldas	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Fontinhas - Leiria	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Oliveira Hospital - Leiria	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW
- Real SC de Queluz
Portuguese Liga 3
04.12.22	Académica Coimbra - Real SC	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Real SC - Alverca	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Real SC - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Setúbal - Real SC	3:5 ✺
06.11.22	Real SC - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.09.22	Real SC - Leiria	1:0
26.02.22	Leiria - Real SC	1:0
04.12.21	Real SC - Leiria	3:4
Taça de Portugal
29.09.19	Leiria - Real SC	0:1

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