Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 11

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Complexo Desportivo de Alverca (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Alverca		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.9	3.2	4
	1.96	3.15	3.55
	1.93	3.3	4.43
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.84	3.3	3.95
	2	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.2)	3.18 ↑ (3)	3.85 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alverca
47.4%

Draw
28.8%

Belenenses
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca's performance.

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belenenses might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Alverca - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: Alverca will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Alverca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Belenenses is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alverca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
27.11.22	Real SC - Alverca	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Alverca - Académica Coimbra	4:0 ✺
04.11.22	Alverca - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Setúbal - Alverca	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Alverca - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTTW
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
27.11.22	Belenenses - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	Moncarapachense - Belenenses	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Belenenses - Caldas	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Fontinhas - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
21.10.22	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTTL

Upcoming Matches