Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (Cordoba)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)


	Belgrano		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	6	Watch
	1.68	3.2	5.25
	1.71	3.3	5
	1.68	3.2	5.2
	1.76	3.34	5.5
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.73	3.32	4.7	Watch
	1.7	3.25	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.91)	3.26 ↑ (2.88)	5.23 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
54.1%

Draw
28.3%

Chacarita Juniors
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

32%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

31.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belgrano's performance.

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	26.7%	13.3%

Belgrano - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Chacarita will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional and 16).

Recent matches Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chacarita is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chacarita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.22	Brown de Adrogué - Belgrano	2:3 ✺
19.09.22	Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
12.09.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Belgrano - Tristán Suárez	4:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.08.22	Godoy Cruz - Belgrano	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.22	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Güemes - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Chacarita Juniors - All Boys	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Chacarita Juniors - San Telmo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.21	Belgrano - Chacarita Juniors	3:0
19.04.21	Chacarita Juniors - Belgrano	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.18	Chacarita Juniors - Belgrano	0:1

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