Match Info

Copa Argentina - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Pedrera (San Luis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Sport TV2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Belgrano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	2.82	2.12	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.54
	3.99	2.79	2.17	Watch
	4.27	3.05	2.09	Watch
	2.53	2.88	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.53)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)	2.31 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
26.6%

Draw
32.8%

Belgrano
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Newells Old Boys - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Belgrano will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Newells Old Boys (2.01) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espinola J. (G) 4. Montero A. 37. Lollo L. 15. Victor Cuesta 25. Tabares A. 14. Fernandez M. 27. Regiardo L. 20. Maroni G. 5. Banega E. 32. Gonzalez C. 18. Benedetto D.	25. Cardozo T. (G) 14. Morales L. 24. Maldonado A. 17. Lopez L. 3. Sporle A. 8. Compagnucci G. 5. Longo S. (C) 11. Gonzalez F. 10. Zelarayan L. 29. Jara F. 22. Fernandez N.
Substitutes
30. Barlasina W. (G) 45. Calderara B. 38. Chiaverano G. 24. Colman Escobar D. J. 9. Garcia J. 19. Gomez Mattar J. 13. Guch F. 6. Mosquera J. 29. Noguera F. 7. Orozco F. 36. Rossi G. 3. Sosa L.	34. Heredia G. 2. Leguizamon A. 4. Lopez E. 32. Mavilla J. 15. Menossi L. 33. Ostchega T. 19. Quignon F. 7. Reyna B. 12. Sanchez U. 30. Saravia Salvia R. A. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 20. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Fabbiani C.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Benedetto D. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Jara F. ⚽,
37', Fernandez M. ↓, Noguera F. ↑,
38', Lollo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Regiardo L. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Lopez L. ⚽,
55', Maroni G. ↓, Colman Escobar D. J. ↑,
55', Regiardo L. ↓, Gomez Mattar J. ↑,
55', Lollo L. ↓, Chiaverano G. ↑,
64', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
65', Gomez Mattar J. 🟨,
69', Tabares A. ↓, Guch F. ↑,
71', Fernandez N. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Jara F. ⚽, Mavilla J. (A),
81', Jara F. ↓, Zelarayan G. ↑,
81', Morales L. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
88', Montero A. 🟨,
89', Zelarayan L. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.25	Newells Old Boys - Atlético Tucumán	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Newells Old Boys - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
13.08.25	Atlético Tucumán - Newells Old Boys	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLTW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.09.25	Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Defensa y Justicia - Belgrano	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Belgrano - Central Córdoba	0:3 ✺
15.08.25	Aldosivi - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Belgrano - Banfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	0:0
31.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
04.02.24	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	1:0
02.09.23	Belgrano - Newells Old Boys	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.04.23	Belgrano - Newells Old Boys	1:0
15.09.18	Belgrano - Newells Old Boys	0:0
17.11.17	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	0:1

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