The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense 38.6%
Draw 34.3%
San Lorenzo 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
34.4%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
35.8%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense's performance.
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
75%
12.5%
Platense - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - San Lorenzo (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Borgogno M. (G) 25. Saborido J. 34. Mendia M. 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 15. Amarfil M. 26. Ferreira P. 7. Mainero G. (C) 43. Retamar K. 10. Zapiola F. 9. Nasif T.
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 55. Montenegro L. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 10. Gulli F. 8. Insaurralde M. 6. De Ritis M. 9. Cuello A. 11. Reali M. 29. Auzmendi R.
Substitutes
24. Barrios M. 27. Dalmasso S. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 23. Heredia L. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 99. Lencina G. 18. Merlini B. 6. Raggio E. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 28. Tucker M.
26. Abrego G. 28. Barrios N. 16. Corujo G. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 18. Herazo D. 44. Hernandez M. 14. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 5. Perruzzi I. 13. Rattalino J. 17. Rodriguez G. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T.
Coaches
Zunino W.
Alvarez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Auzmendi R. ⚽, Reali M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cuello A. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
46', Saborido J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
58', Mendia M. 🟨,
59', De Ritis M. 🟨,
65', Mainero G. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
65', Amarfil M. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
65', Reali M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
66', Romana J. 🟨,
73', Retamar K. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
75', Gulli F. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
81', Nasif T. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
86', Hernandez M. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
90+4', Barrios N. 🟨,
90+7', Zapiola F. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2.
Platense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Lorenzo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Platense could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Platense: Bay J.
(Knee Injury)
Bobadilla H.
(Muscle Injury)
Ferreira P.
(Personal Reasons)
Goni G.
(Muscle Injury)
Lotti A.
(Inactive)
Luna Diale M.
(Inactive)
Minerva F.
(Muscle Injury)
Portillo M.
(Muscle Injury)
Quiros S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vazquez I.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Knee Injury)
Cardillo M.
(Inactive)
Cerutti E.
(Knee Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Platense - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
San Lorenzo - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.51%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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Borgogno M. (G) 
Gill O. (G) 
Romana J. 
De Ritis M. 
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