Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Belgrano		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.45	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.35
	3.25	3	2.35	Watch
	3.32	3.03	2.39	Watch
	3.44	3	2.31	Watch
	3.25	3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
28.9%

Draw
31.2%

Boca Juniors
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

30.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

29.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	44.4%	55.6%

Belgrano - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Boca Juniors (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Belgrano (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Vicentini M. (G) 34. Heredia G. 2. Leguizamon A. 13. Meriano N. 6. Grillo F. 15. Menossi L. 5. Longo S. (C) 23. Quignon F. 11. Gonzalez F. 29. Jara F. 22. Fernandez N.	25. Marchesin A. (G) 42. Blondel L. 5. Battaglia R. 6. Rojo M. 23. Blanco L. 30. Belmonte T. 43. Delgado M. 22. Zenon K. 8. Carlos Palacios 9. Gimenez M. 10. Cavani E. (C)
Substitutes
16. Castro T. 1. Chicco I. (G) 17. Cravero T. 24. Dattola A. 51. Hernandes R. 32. Mavilla J. 65. Ocampo A. 9. Passerini L. 7. Reyna B. 12. Sanchez U. 20. Zelarayan G.	17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 24. Barinaga J. 12. Brey L. (G) 32. Costa A. 40. Di Lollo L. 19. Martegani A. 16. Miguel Merentiel 14. Miramon I. 3. Saracchi M. 20. Velasco A. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Zielinski R.	Gago F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Rojo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, Menossi L. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Zenon K. ⚽, Cavani E. (A),
67', Blondel L. ↓, Advincula L. ↑,
67', Gimenez M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Carlos Palacios ⚽,
77', Zenon K. ↓, Miramon I. ↑,
77', Cavani E. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
77', Menossi L. ↓, Zelarayan G. ↑,
83', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
87', Battaglia R. 🟨,
90', Grillo F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2.

Recent matches Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A. (Injury) Cravero T. (Ankle Injury) Ostchega T. (Finger Injury) Reyna B. (Ankle Injury) Troilo M. (Yellow Cards) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zelarayan L. (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Herrera A. (Injury) Lema C. (Muscle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:24 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Belgrano - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTL
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Boca Juniors - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
28.02.25	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.09.24	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.03.24	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	3:2
10.10.23	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	4:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.05.23	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	2:0
10.02.19	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	1:1
29.10.17	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	4:0
11.09.16	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	3:0

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