Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Estudiantes La Plata		Platense

	1	X	2
	1.96	3	4.5
	2.00	2.95	4.10
	2.08	2.92	4.25
	2.09	3.07	4.48
	2.02	3.18	4.11	Watch
	2.05	3	4.4
	2.03	3.04	4.56	Watch
	1.98	3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.72)	3.02 ↓ (3.33)	4.34 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
46.8%

Draw
31.4%

Platense
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

28.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

27.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Estudiantes La Plata - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iacovich F. (G) 20. Meza E. 4. Nunez S. 35. Pierani V. 13. Benedetti G. 8. Gabriel Neves 39. Elias J. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J. (C) 18. Cetre E. 19. Gaich A.	30. Cozzani J. (G) 25. Saborido J. 31. Victor Cuesta 34. Mendia M. 3. Silva T. 5. Gomez I. 15. Amarfil M. 16. Togni G. 7. Mainero G. (C) 10. Zapiola F. 99. Lencina G.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. 22. Castro A. 32. Correa J. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 40. Mancuso E. 34. Monsalve M. 16. Muslera F. (G) 36. Pereyra J. 21. Piovi L. 41. Sagues B.	24. Barrios M. 17. Bussio F. 37. Cambiasso S. (G) 33. Gauto J. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 11. Lopez N. 21. Lotti A. 18. Merlini B. 29. Minerva F. 79. Sepulveda B. 13. Vazquez I.
Coaches
Medina A.	Palermo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Pierani V. 🟨,
15', Gomez I. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Gaich A. ⚽, Cetre E. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Mainero G. ⚽, Amarfil M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pierani V. ↓, Gonzalez Pirez L. ↑,
49', Amarfil M. 🟨,
50', Sosa J. 🟨,
52', Nunez S. 🟨,
59', Sosa J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
59', Perez Fabricio ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
60', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
67', Saborido J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
73', Lagos A. 🟨,
76', Togni G. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
76', Lencina G. ↓, Sepulveda B. ↑,
80', Elias J. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
80', Cetre E. ↓, Carrillo G. ↑,
83', Zapiola F. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
83', Silva T. ↓, Ingenthron C. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Carrillo G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.51%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.09.26	Vélez Sársfield - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTWL
- CA Platense
Copa Libertadores
08.09.26	Fluminense - Platense	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.26	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.08.26	Platense - Instituto Córdoba	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	Barracas Central - Platense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
20.12.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.09.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.03.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	1:2
18.10.23	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.23	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2
04.09.22	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0

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