Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Marine		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.5
	1.78	3.75	3.75
	1.8	3.9	3.71
	1.81	3.9	3.71
	1.83	3.75	3.3
	1.76	3.68	3.82
	1.78	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.63)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)	3.65 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
50.9%

Draw
24.1%

Gainsborough Trinity
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

22.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Marine - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 8 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marine won 1.

Recent matches Marine is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gainsborough is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gainsborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marine is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Marine won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Marine won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
12.12.23	Morpeth Town - Marine	1:0 ✺
05.12.23	Marine - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
02.12.23	Marine - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
28.11.23	Marine - Workington	4:4 ✺
25.11.23	Worksop Town - Marine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTTW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
09.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Ilkeston	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	1:3 ✺
28.11.23	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Marske United - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2 ✺
18.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.08.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Marine	0:0
21.03.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Marine	1:0
01.11.22	Marine - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
23.03.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Marine	0:1
10.11.18	Marine - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
English FA Cup
11.10.14	Gainsborough Trinity - Marine	4:0

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