Match Info

BELARUS: VYSSHAYA LIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadyen Atlant Iskusstvennoe pole (Novopolotsk)

Referee: Tarasyuk D. (Blr)


	Belshina		Slavia Mozyr

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.25
	2.88	3.29	2.46
	2.85	3.4	2.41	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.17)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belshina
32.7%

Draw
27.8%

Slavia Mozyr
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belshina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Belshina - Slavia Mozyr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Belshina won 0.

Belshina has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Slavia Mozyr is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Belshina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Slavia Mozyr will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Belshina won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Belshina won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belshina Bobruisk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
14.04.23	Isloch Minsk - Belshina	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Belshina - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Smorgon - Belshina	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
11.03.23	BATE Borisov - Belshina	5:0 ✺
04.03.23	Belshina - BATE Borisov	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLL
- Slavia Mozyr
Belarusian Cup
18.04.23	Slavia Mozyr - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
14.04.23	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	4:1 ✺
09.04.23	Dinamo Brest - Slavia Mozyr	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Slavia Mozyr - Dinamo Minsk	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Minsk - Slavia Mozyr	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.11.22	Belshina - Slavia Mozyr	1:4
08.07.22	Slavia Mozyr - Belshina	2:0
04.11.20	Slavia Mozyr - Belshina	1:1
30.05.20	Belshina - Slavia Mozyr	2:3
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
20.10.18	Belshina - Slavia Mozyr	0:2
Belarusian Cup
03.10.18	Slavia Mozyr - Belshina	0:1 penalties
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.06.18	Slavia Mozyr - Belshina	3:0

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