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Current Win Probability
Naftan 30.7%
Draw 27.2%
Belshina 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
27%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
26.2%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Belshina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Naftan - Belshina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Pershaya Liga and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 1.
Naftan is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Belshina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Naftan has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Naftan has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:29 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Naftan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.4 per game).
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