The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naftan 31.8%
Draw 26.8%
Belshina 41.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.8%
27%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
26.2%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Naftan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Belshina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (+1%)
Naftan - Belshina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sadovskiy D. (G) 8. Stefanishin A. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 69. Khadzhiev R. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 50. Mafwenta G. 24. Seleznev I. 9. Yakovlev V. 6. Adamovich K. 57. Galimzyanov T. 94. Voskoboynikov A.
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 3. Kuchinskiy A. 6. Lazarev D. 17. Vikhrov I. 14. Davydov V. 8. Rusenchik V. 21. Golub N. 27. Zgurskiy L. 10. Kozlov Y. (C) 9. Shvedchikov A. 7. Achapovskiy A.
Substitutes
30. Aymanov M. 14. Chmut I. 88. Drabatovich A. 22. Fezhenko V. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 21. Kirkitskiy K. 20. Leshchenok E. 25. Matvey S. 10. Savitskiy A. 7. Tumanov A.
77. Kovalev V. 25. Makhmudov A. (G) 44. Malashkevich D. 15. Malykh K. 18. Nekrasov N. 54. Patsenko N. (G) 5. Seleznev P. 19. Sokolovskiy N. 78. Yakushevich G.
Coaches
Khrapkovski A.
Volodko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Davydov V. ⚽, Achapovskiy A. (A),
23', Adamovich K. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Voskoboynikov A. ↓, Savitskiy A. ↑,
46', Galimzyanov T. ↓, Aymanov M. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Yakovlev V. ⚽, Mafwenta G. (A),
59', Zgurskiy L. ↓, Kovalev V. ↑,
59', Shvedchikov A. ↓, Seleznev P. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Yakovlev V. ⚽, Khadzhiev R. (A),
70', Kozlov Y. ↓, Nekrasov N. ↑,
76', Yakovlev V. ↓, Drabatovich A. ↑,
78', Stefanishin A. 🟨,
79', Khadzhiev R. 🟨,
88', Golub N. ↓, Yakushevich G. ↑,
88', Davydov V. ↓, Sokolovskiy N. ↑,
90', Adamovich K. ↓, Fezhenko V. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Aymanov M. ⚽, Mafwenta G. (A),
90+5', 4 - 1, Drabatovich A. ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Pershaya Liga and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 1.
Naftan is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Belshina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Naftan has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Naftan has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:29 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Naftan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.4 per game).