Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Parque Barrio Ilolay (Rafaela)


	Ben Hur		9 de Julio

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.2
	2.04	3.26	3.23
				Watch
	2.14	2.92	3.46
	1.93	3.11	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.98)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Hur
44.4%

Draw
29%

9 de Julio
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

30.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Hur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Ben Hur - 9 de Julio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G)
3. Alemandi M.
8. Bessone J.
2. Cura L.
7. Fernandez E.
11. Giacone J.
10. Jimenez S.
9. Molina J.
6. Rouzies M.
5. Sola L.
4. Urquia L.
Substitutes
. Albornoz C. H.
18. Caballero F.
. Contrera R.
16. Doello L.
15. Garcia F.
17. Jara G.
12. Rivadeneira F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Jimenez S. 🟨,
17', Bustos J. 🟨,
24', Martinez M. 🟥,
41', 1 - 0, Giacone J. ⚽,
43', Acuna S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Abondetto R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Ben Hur is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Ben Hur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

9 de Julio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ben Hur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ben Hur might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ben Hur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.07.25	Douglas Haig - Ben Hur	2:2 ✺
27.06.25	Ben Hur - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Ben Hur	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Ben Hur - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	El Linqueño - Ben Hur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLWL
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.07.25	9 de Julio - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.25	9 de Julio - Ben Hur	2:0

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