Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Salomon Boeseldin (Villa Ram)


	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo		Ben Hur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.1	3.7
	2.08	2.82	3.6
	2.29	2.9	3.35
	3.35	2.09	3.35	Watch
	2.19	2.72	3.64
	1.89	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.89)	2.81 ↓ (3.2)	3.58 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
40.8%

Draw
33.2%

Ben Hur
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

28.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo's form might have worsened.

Ben Hur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Def Belgrano VR (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alcorcel A. (G) 5. Alric F. 8. Cartechini J. (C) 6. Gay F. 2. Hertel L. 4. Nunez L. 9. Olego F. 11. Olego M. 7. Perez L. 10. Principiano L. 3. Tomino J.	1. Astrada M. (G) 3. Alemandi M. 8. Bessone J. 7. Fernandez E. 11. Giacone J. 10. Jimenez S. 2. Jofre F. 9. Molina J. 6. Rouzies M. 5. Sola L. 4. Urquia L.
Substitutes
17. Abaca J. 16. De Gaetani A. 18. Marnini N. 15. Mendoza E. 13. Monzon L. 14. Pezzani F. 19. Rivas L. 20. Rodriguez M. 12. Sablevich B. (G)	14. Albornoz C. H. 17. Caballero F. 16. Doello L. 15. Garcia F. 12. Gonzalez G. (G) 13. Huichulef J. 18. Jara G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Perez L. ⚽,
24', Olego M. 🟨,
39', Urquia L. 🟨,
45+1', Olego M. ↓, Marnini N. ↑,
45+2', Cartechini J. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Alemandi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Jofre F. 🟨,
61', Alric F. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
61', Principiano L. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
63', Molina J. ↓, Jara G. ↑,
73', Alemandi M. 🟨,
76', Fernandez E. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
76', Jimenez S. ↓, Doello L. ↑,
76', Olego F. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
76', Nunez L. ↓, Abaca J. ↑,
83', Mendoza E. 🟥,
90+2', Bessone J. ↓, Albornoz C. H. ↑,

Preview

Def Belgrano VR is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ben Hur has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Def Belgrano VR is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.07.25	El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Ben Hur - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWLL
- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.07.25	Ben Hur - 9 de Julio	9 de Julio Rafaela awarded ✺
06.07.25	Douglas Haig - Ben Hur	2:2 ✺
27.06.25	Ben Hur - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Ben Hur	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Ben Hur - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 ?TTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.06.25	Ben Hur - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0
13.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:0

Upcoming Matches