Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Parque Barrio Ilolay (Rafaela)


	Ben Hur		El Linqueño

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.45
	2.3	3	2.92
	2.5	2.87	2.77
	2.72	2.94	2.72	Watch
	2.22	3.06	3.11
	2.63	3.12	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.75 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Hur
36.6%

Draw
30.3%

El Linqueño
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Hur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Ben Hur - El Linqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 3. Alemandi M. 8. Bessone J. 6. Cura L. 7. Garcia F. 11. Giacone J. 10. Jimenez S. 2. Jofre F. 9. Molina J. 5. Sola L. 4. Urquia L.	1. Alcaraz M. (G) 3. Carabajal M. 7. Gomez R. 2. Herrera A. 11. Mc Cormick A. 6. Nunez C. 9. Ottaviani G. 4. Ramos A. 5. Redondo K. 10. Serrano G. 8. Sosa E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Molina J. ⚽,
81', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

No spectators.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

El Linqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ben Hur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ben Hur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.07.25	Boca Unidos - Ben Hur	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Ben Hur - 9 de Julio	9 de Julio Rafaela awarded ✺
06.07.25	Douglas Haig - Ben Hur	2:2 ✺
27.06.25	Ben Hur - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LT?TT
- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.07.25	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - El Linqueño	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	9 de Julio - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.06.25	El Linqueño - Ben Hur	1:0
06.04.25	Ben Hur - El Linqueño	2:0

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