Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Perrera (Las Parejas)


	Sportivo Las Parejas		Crucero del Norte

	1	X	2
	1.41	4	6.5
	1.39	4	6.6
	1.52	3.6	5.84
	1.55	3.74	6.23	Watch
	1.42	4.05	6.75
	1.35	4.44	7.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.32)	3.97 ↓ (4.5)	6.56 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Las Parejas
63.2%

Draw
22.9%

Crucero del Norte
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.2%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Las Parejas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Crucero del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Las Parejas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sportivo Las Parejas - Crucero del Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Taverna J. ⚽,
63', Nunez L. ↓, Hadad N. ↑,
69', 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Arcando A. ⚽,

Preview

Sportivo Las Parejas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crucero del Norte has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sportivo Las Parejas is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Las Parejas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Las Parejas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - El Linqueño	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTLW
- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.25	Crucero del Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	2:3 ✺
20.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	5:1 ✺
28.06.25	Crucero del Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.09.22	Sportivo Las Parejas - Crucero del Norte	2:0
18.06.22	Crucero del Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:2
23.10.21	Sportivo Las Parejas - Crucero del Norte	3:1
24.07.21	Crucero del Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:2
01.12.19	Sportivo Las Parejas - Crucero del Norte	0:0

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