Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Parque Barrio Ilolay (Rafaela)


	Ben Hur		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.87	2.4
	2.5	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.77	2.77	2.9
	2.76	2.79	2.91	Watch
	2.56	3.03	2.87	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.91)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)	2.78 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Hur
34.8%

Draw
32%

Douglas Haig
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

31.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Hur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Ben Hur - Douglas Haig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ben Hur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 3. Alemandi M. 8. Bessone J. 10. Fernandez E. 7. Giacone J. 11. Jimenez S. 2. Jofre F. 6. Rouzies M. 5. Sola L. 4. Urquia L. 9. Velazquez K.	1. Bacher E. (G) 2. Bianchi B. 7. Bogado E. 8. Castellano J. 3. Cuello L. 11. Gonzalez F. 10. Gutierrez S. 4. Magnago B. 5. Meza B. 9. Orlando M. 6. Pezzi A.
Substitutes
. Albarracin C. . Comba G. . Cura L. . Fernandez K. . Gonzalez G. (G) . Quinteros D.	13. Bazzana N. 17. Caballuci R. 12. Carrera J. (G) 15. Gomez M. 18. Jara A. 16. Ojeda L. 14. Santangelo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Giacone J. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Rouzies M. (Own goal),
34', 🟨,
36', Jofre F. ↓, Cura L. ↑,
45+1', Bianchi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Alemandi M. ⚽,
65', Orlando M. ↓, Ojeda L. ↑,
65', Castellano J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
66', Cuello L. ↓, Santangelo E. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Giacone J. ⚽,
81', Fernandez E. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
81', Jimenez S. ↓, Quinteros D. ↑,
81', Giacone J. ↓, Benito J. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In recent matches, Ben Hur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Douglas Haig is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ben Hur	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Ben Hur - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ben Hur - El Linqueño	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Ben Hur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.25	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTTWW

Ben Hur - Douglas Haig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide