Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Poli A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	19:00	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	18:00	OneFootball TV


	Benevento		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.57	4.20	5.25
	1.52	4.05	5.1	Watch
	1.59	4.58	5.48
	1.56	4.37	5.1	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5.4
	1.57	4.33	4.97	Watch
	1.54	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.91)	4.24 ↑ (3.53)	5.28 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
60.3%

Draw
22%

Catanzaro
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catanzaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catanzaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Benevento - Catanzaro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (8.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 - Benevento (10.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Benevento (1.60) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Benevento will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benevento will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 17. Sernicola L. 14. Scognamillo S. 15. Dalle Mura C. 20. Beruatto P. 6. Siatounis A. 8. Maita M. (C) 28. Kouan C. 11. Lamesta D. 9. Salvemini F. 10. Cherubini L.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 24. Ruggero M. 4. Matias Antonini 3. Imperiale M. 27. Candela A. 28. Tchaouna F. 10. Petriccione J. 30. Alesi G. 93. Dorval M. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 19. Koffi N.
Substitutes
5. Caldirola L. 22. Esposito M. (G) 16. Mannini M. 32. Mignani G. 29. Okereke D. 4. Prisco A. 25. Romano R. 23. Saio P. 21. Schimmenti E. 18. Simonetti P. 93. Tumminello M. 90. Verdi S.	91. Arditi G. 7. Buso N. 21. Cassa F. 77. D'Alessandro M. 29. Di Francesco F. 62. Frosinini R. 1. Marietta C. (G) 98. Mosti N. 20. Pafundi S. 8. Pogacar A. 6. Postiglione N. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Floro Flores A.	Gorgone G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Kouan C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Matias Antonini 🟨,
50', Candela A. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Salvemini F. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Matias Antonini ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
59', Dorval M. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
62', Lamesta D. ↓, Okereke D. ↑,
62', Kouan C. ↓, Prisco A. ↑,
63', Scognamillo S. 🟨,
67', Salvemini F. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
71', Candela A. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
71', Petriccione J. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
79', Di Francesco F. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
85', Imperiale M. 🟨,
86', Beruatto P. ↓, Romano R. ↑,
86', Cherubini L. ↓, Saio P. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Buso N. ⚽,
90+3', Maita M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 20th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 3.

Benevento is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Catanzaro has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Benevento carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Benevento: Schimmenti E. (Inactive) Sylla A. (Inactive) Talia A. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Catanzaro: Giovane S. (Inactive) Loubao S. (Inactive) Pecorino E. (Inactive) Pogacar A. (Inactive).

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Benevento has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Benevento against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Benevento	9	4	3	2	14:8	6	15
20	Catanzaro	9	1	2	6	10:21	-11	5

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Benevento: 1.65% Catanzaro: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Arezzo - Benevento	0:3 ✺
17.10.26	Benevento - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Benevento - Cesena	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Frosinone - Benevento	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Carrarese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLW
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Catanzaro - Ascoli	1:6 ✺
16.10.26	Verona - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
06.03.16	Catanzaro - Benevento	1:1
24.10.15	Benevento - Catanzaro	1:0
17.01.15	Catanzaro - Benevento	0:1
05.09.14	Benevento - Catanzaro	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
11.05.14	Catanzaro - Benevento	1:2
06.04.14	Benevento - Catanzaro	0:0
11.12.13	Catanzaro - Benevento	1:0

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