Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:15	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Catanzaro		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.30	3.00	Watch
	2.37	3.40	2.80
	2.38	3.35	2.80
	2.46	3.38	3.12
	2.7	3.24	2.6	Watch
	2.40	3.25	3.05
	2.42	3.25	2.87	Watch
	2.32	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	2.89 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
39%

Draw
28.5%

Ascoli
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.8%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Catanzaro - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 24. Ruggero M. 4. Matias Antonini 3. Imperiale M. 27. Candela A. 28. Tchaouna F. 10. Petriccione J. 29. Di Francesco F. 20. Pafundi S. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 19. Koffi N.	1. Vitale S. (G) 14. Oliveri A. 32. Gattoni F. 33. Rizzo N. 19. Guiebre A. 8. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 13. Acampora G. 15. D'Uffizi S. (C) 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
30. Alesi G. 91. Arditi G. 7. Buso N. 21. Cassa F. 77. D'Alessandro M. 93. Dorval M. 62. Frosinini R. 1. Marietta C. (G) 98. Mosti N. 6. Postiglione N. 80. Reita F. 26. Verrengia B.	77. Bolsius D. 99. Brunori M. 9. Chakir M. A. 45. Crespi G. M. (G) 30. Curado M. 21. De Pieri G. 18. Lo Scalzo L. 62. Milanese T. 3. Nicoletti M. 11. Perciun S. 27. Ricci M. 5. Venuti L.
Coaches
Gorgone G.	Tomei F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
18', 1 - 0, Koffi N. ⚽, Di Francesco F. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Gori G. ⚽, Silipo A. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Acampora G. ⚽, D'Uffizi S. (A),
36', 1 - 3, Gattoni F. ⚽, Oliveri A. (A),
39', Gattoni F. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 4, Corradini G. ⚽, Gori G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Acampora G. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
46', Koffi N. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
53', 1 - 5, Milanese T. ⚽,
56', Ruggero M. ↓, Postiglione N. ↑,
56', Pafundi S. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
56', Di Francesco F. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
60', Corradini G. ↓, Perciun S. ↑,
60', Damiani S. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
60', Silipo A. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
72', Oliveri A. ↓, Venuti L. ↑,
76', 1 - 6, Gori G. ⚽, Perciun S. (A),
78', Tchaouna F. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
90+2', Gori G. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 6th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Recent results have been tough for Catanzaro (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Ascoli have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Catanzaro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Catanzaro: Loubao S. (Inactive) Pogacar A. (Inactive) Reita F. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Ascoli: Alagna M. (Knee Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Catanzaro has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Catanzaro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ascoli	9	5	3	1	16:6	10	18
20	Catanzaro	9	1	2	6	10:21	-11	5

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Ascoli: 2.48% Catanzaro: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Ascoli - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
16.10.26	Verona - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLWL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
17.10.26	Ascoli - Empoli	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ascoli - Avellino	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Padova - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ascoli - Benevento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.02.24	Catanzaro - Ascoli	3:2
16.12.23	Ascoli - Catanzaro	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
23.02.14	Ascoli - Catanzaro	0:1
18.10.13	Catanzaro - Ascoli	1:1

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