The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 57.7%
Draw 22.9%
Catanzaro 19.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.2%
26.1%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
25.6%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catanzaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catanzaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Benevento - Catanzaro Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - over (8.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -3.5 - Benevento (10.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Benevento will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benevento will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 20th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 3.
Benevento is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Catanzaro has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Benevento carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Benevento: Schimmenti E.
(Inactive)
Sylla A.
(Inactive)
Talia A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Catanzaro: Giovane S.
(Inactive)
Loubao S.
(Inactive)
Pecorino E.
(Inactive)
Pogacar A.
(Inactive).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Benevento has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Benevento against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).
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