Match Info

Date: 27 July 2020, Monday


	Benevento		Chievo

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.5
	2.75	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.44
	2.93	3.29	2.53
	2.9	3.2	2.5
	2.89	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.38)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.5 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
33.3%

Draw
29.1%

Chievo
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

20.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benevento's form might have worsened.

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chievo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.2%	17.5%	52.4%

Benevento - Chievo Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 19 - 30.2%). Chievo will win (votes: 33 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 40.1% – 64.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.07.20	Frosinone - Benevento	2:3 ✺
13.07.20	Trapani - Benevento	2:0 ✺
10.07.20	Benevento - Venezia	1:1 ✺
03.07.20	Crotone - Benevento	3:0 ✺
29.06.20	Benevento - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTLW
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
24.07.20	Chievo - Cittadella	4:1 ✺
17.07.20	Juve Stabia - Chievo	3:2 ✺
13.07.20	Cremonese - Chievo	1:0 ✺
10.07.20	Chievo - Trapani	1:1 ✺
03.07.20	Virtus Entella - Chievo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.19	Chievo - Benevento	1:2
Italian Serie A
20.05.18	Chievo - Benevento	1:0
30.12.17	Benevento - Chievo	1:0

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